New analysis on the Norman and Oklahoma City mayoral races by OKLIG reveals a familiar results curve, remarkably similar to what we’ve seen before in the 2020 Presidential Election.
This is a pattern. Elections held across the state, and separated by time, should appear somewhat random. Why do the proportions keep looking so much like each other?
February’s Primary
The primary elections for both cities were held on Feb 8, at the same time as the first round of school board elections throughout the state, which we also covered.
In OKC, the contest was effectively between 3 candidates, incumbent Mayor David Holt, Frank Urbanic, the lawyer who gained attention during the time of restaurant curfews and city mask mandates, and Carol Hefner, a former co-chair of Donald Trump’s presidential campaign in Oklahoma. Jimmy Lawson had support in some precincts but for the most part was under 10%.
We plotted their results precinct by precinct, with the percentages they made in each, then sorted them from highest to lowest.
Here we see the familiar slope, just like we did in 2020. It’s smoother, which could be expected to some degree, with almost 3 times as many precincts in the city as there are counties in the state. However, the “S” curve is still apparent, and tells us something is off. Drawing from the law of large numbers, the spread should be more level, flatter. Of course there will be exceptions, and every election looks different – at least should look different.
Instead we see that Norman’s proportions also have this feature.
Two separate races on the same day, spanning multiple counties, are very much alike, and resemble past results. To our group, this looks highly suspicious.
Norman Runoff
Mayor David Holt sailed to a safe re-election in February, but the Norman top of ticket was much closer, so it went to a runoff. Here is the graph showing its results, with the proportion in each precinct just like above.
Seeing a pattern yet? We are. And we’re continuing to ask questions. We think it’s time to “open the hood” of the election machines, and let the people see proof that they’re fully secure and uncompromised.
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